Dynamic Forecasting and Operation Mechanism of Reservoir Considering Multi-Time Scales

This paper proposes a feedback, rolling and adaptive operation decision-making mechanism for coupling nesting of time scales. It is aimed at the change scale dynamics in process, considering relationship between period multi-time The key point to integrate forecasting order adapt scales dynamic process. process divided into different scales; model method libraries are constructed, progressive updating used realize operation, according regulation or reservoir. Taking Miyun Reservoir Beijing, China as research object, integrated complex control integrated, based on platform using modern information technology. uses classic models, which can be selected goals. inflow input, output water distribution plan, more importantly, point. modification next stage, plan also changes accordingly. feasibility, effectiveness, rationality flexibility reservoir verified, so that dynamically changing adapting demand. proposed has scientific value guiding significance improve theory, it provides decision support actual business.